Just a couple of weeks ago, we pointed out that short interest in the S&P 1500 was at its highest level since June of 2012. Numbers are in for the second half of January, and the picture is only getting worse, with the energy sector playing a big role in the continued climb.
As a recovery in the price of oil remains elusive, the energy sector has been dealt a great deal of pain since the start of the year.
“[S]hort interest levels for three sectors (Consumer Staples, Energy, and Health Care) also increased to multi-year highs, and in the case of Energy, its short interest as a percentage of float [SIPF] level is now above 12 percent to its highest level in over a decade,” Bespoke Investment Group points out. “Utilities is a sector that has held up very well this year, but even here traders are starting to step up their negative bets as short interest in the sector increased from 2.9% up to 3.0%.”
Short interest, or the quantity of stock shares that investors have sold short but not yet covered, can also be a measure of investor sentiment. The runup in short interest shows the decline in sentiment as investors weather the storm of stocks not only falling but also posting some big moves to the downside along the way. To be clear, the current level is still far from the highs we saw in the financial crisis. Here is a chart from a note Bespoke Investment Group recently sent out to clients. It shows the historical levels of short interest for the S&P 1500.